Work place: State Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering; Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610065, China
E-mail: jwzhou@scu.edu.cn
Website:
Research Interests: Materials Science, Engineering
Biography
Jiawen Zhou was born in Ji-an, Jiangxi, China in 1982. He received the B.S. degree in architecture engineering form East China Jiaotong University in 2003; and the M.S. and Ph.D. degree in geotechnical engineering from Hohai University in 2005 and 2008, respectively. His research interests in Geotechanical mechanics and engineering. Dr. Jiawen Zhou is an IAEG Member, a member of China Society of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, Chinese Society of Theoretical and Application Mechanics, China Civil Engineering Society, Chinese Society of Hydropower Station, Chinese Society of Hydro-electric power.
By Jiawen Zhou Xingguo Yang Wei Hu
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5815/ijisa.2009.01.04, Pub. Date: 8 Oct. 2009
According to the slope in geotechnical engineering, many displacement monitoring points are usually set to obtain the displacement data to ensure slope stability, these data are typical nonlinear time series, and it has high value about how to make use of displacement monitoring data to do the next step forecast analysis. Due to a certain degree of error, smoothing filter method is used to pretreat the displacement data, eliminate the influence of the error on the results and ensure the rationality. Based on smoothing filter data, these two methods are proposed to predict the displacement of the slope: exponential smoothing and chaos neural network. Both methods are used to make predictive analysis of the displacement monitoring data of outer monitoring point TP/BM27 in high slope of Three Gorges Ship-Lock, forecasting results show that: predictive values are close to measured values, chaos neural network prediction method is better than exponential smoothing method. At the same time, the displacement data with higher reliability and smoothing filter processing are used to make predictive analysis, the results can be more reasonable, so smoothing filter processing plays an important role in the analysis of displacement prediction.
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