Work place: University of Dar es salaam, P.O. Box 2329, Dar es salaam, Tanzania
E-mail: mwanga.gasper@gmail.com
Website:
Research Interests: Computer systems and computational processes, Computational Mathematics
Biography
Dr. Gasper Mwanga is Lecture of Mathematics at Dar es Salaam University College of Education of the University, Tanzania and the head of Physics, Mathematics, and Informatics. He pursued his Ph.D in Applied Mathematics at Lappeenranta University of Technology, Finland specializing in modeling and optimal control of Malaria. His area of interest includes Biomathematics, Ecological modeling, and Mathematical Epidemiology.
By Furaha Michael Chuma Gasper Godson Mwanga
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5815/ijmsc.2019.02.01, Pub. Date: 8 Apr. 2019
Newcastle is a viral disease of chicken and other avian species. In this paper, the stability analysis of the disease free and endemic equilibrium points of the Newcastle disease model of the village chicken in the absence of any control are studied. The Hurwitz matrix criterion is applied to study the stability of the Newcastle disease free equilibrium point,Q0. The result shows that the disease free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable iff the principle leading minors of the Hurwitz Matrix, (for n∈ℝ+) are all positive. Using the Castillo Chavez Theorem we showed that, the disease free equilibrium point is globally asymptotically when R0<1. Furthermore, using the logarithmic function and the LaSalle’s Theorem, the endemic equilibrium point is found globally asymptotically stable for R0>1. Finally the numerical simulations confirm the existence and stability of the equilibrium points of the model. This reveals that, proper interventions are needed so as to decrease the frequently occurrence of the Newcastle disease in the village chicken population.
[...] Read more.Subscribe to receive issue release notifications and newsletters from MECS Press journals