Work place: Department of CSE, Chittagong University of Engineering and technology, Chittagong-4349, Bangladesh
E-mail: mahfuz_cse@cuet.ac.bd
Website: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3006-4596
Research Interests:
Biography
Mahfuzul H. Chowdhury obtained his PhD in 2018. He is currently a faculty member and researcher at computer science and engineering department, Chittagong University of Engineering and Technology. His major research interest include machine learning, cloud computing, computer network, and mobile app development. He has published several journal and conference articles in reputated publishers like Springer, IEEE journals, and conferences.
By Md. Shimul Mahmud Mahfuzul H. Chowdhury
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5815/ijieeb.2024.06.04, Pub. Date: 8 Dec. 2024
Forecasting electrical energy consumption is becoming increasingly important for a country's citizens as it addresses rising energy demand and energy waste issues. A useful electrical energy consumption prediction scheme could help users estimate their monthly electricity bills and the use of new electrical appliances in their homes. Traditional energy consumption prediction methods are time-consuming and necessitate expert assistance to analyze and calculate energy use over time. The limitations of the existing works are that the existing literature does not accurately predict monthly energy consumption and costs using machine learning. They concentrated on electrical energy consumption over a short period of time in a single building, using seasonal data rather than automating the system for repeated use. To address these issues, this paper proposes machine learning-based automation systems that predict monthly energy consumption, estimate costs, and identify relevant features using data from electrical home appliances in Bangladesh. Several regression models, including Random Forest, Decision Tree, XGBoost, Boosting, and LightGBM Regressor, are tested to find the best prediction model. We have performed dataset collection, dataset cleaning, feature extraction, scaling, normalization, hyper parameter tuning, training, testing, and model selection activities. The simulation results clearly indicated that the Random Forest regressor model performed better than the other models, with higher R squared values and lower error values. The comparison results revealed that the proposed random forest regression model outperforms previous works by at least 4% in accuracy and 7% in mean absolute error. The proposed mobile application helps users make informed decisions by calculating energy consumption for new home appliances, making recommendations, delivering updated news from the power board, and providing required guidelines. The mobile application feature evaluation results revealed that our proposed application received an excellent rating from more than 70% of customers.
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