Maya L. Pai

Work place: Department of Mathematics, Amrita Vishwa Vidyapeetham, Cochin, 682024, India

E-mail: mayalpai@gmail.com

Website:

Research Interests: Computer systems and computational processes, Neural Networks, Computer Networks, Data Mining, Data Structures and Algorithms

Biography

Maya L. Pai serves as a Faculty at Amrita Vishwa Vidyapeetham and currently is a PhD student at CUSAT. She is Head of the Department of Mathematics at Amrita School of Arts and Sciences, Kochi and is author to publications in national journals. Teaching experience spans over 30 years with ardent interest in data mining, neural networks and genetic algorithm.  

Author Articles
Long Range Forecast on South West Monsoon Rainfall using Artificial Neural Networks based on Clustering Approach

By Maya L. Pai Kalavampara V. Pramod Alungal N. Balchand

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5815/ijitcs.2014.07.01, Pub. Date: 8 Jun. 2014

The purpose of this study is to forecast Southwest Indian Monsoon rainfall based on sea surface temperature, sea level pressure, humidity and zonal (u) and meridional (v) winds. With the aforementioned parameters given as input to an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), the rainfall within 10x10 grids of southwest Indian regions is predicted by means of one of the most efficient clustering methods, namely the Kohonen Self-Organizing Maps (SOM). The ANN is trained with input parameters spanning for 36 years (1960-1995) and tested and validated for a period of 9 years (1996-2004). It is further used to predict the rainfall for 6 years (2005-2010). The results show reasonably good accuracy for the summer monsoon periods June, July, August and September (JJAS) of the validation years.

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