Alungal N. Balchand

Work place: Department of Physical Oceanography, CUSAT, Cochin, 682016, India

E-mail: balchand@rediffmail.com

Website:

Research Interests: Earth & Environmental Sciences

Biography

Alungal N. Balchand is Professor and Head at Department of Physical Oceanography, CUSAT with major in Environmental Oceanography. Total research experience commenced from 1985 and has culminated in publications of more than 55 papers in refereed journals. Job responsibilities include teaching at post graduate level, guidance to doctoral students (8 awardees) and more than 25 dissertations. Interest is currently focused on Coastal Zone Management, Climate Change and Role of Oceans and Ocean Remote Sensing involving two major EU projects.

Author Articles
Long Range Forecast on South West Monsoon Rainfall using Artificial Neural Networks based on Clustering Approach

By Maya L. Pai Kalavampara V. Pramod Alungal N. Balchand

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5815/ijitcs.2014.07.01, Pub. Date: 8 Jun. 2014

The purpose of this study is to forecast Southwest Indian Monsoon rainfall based on sea surface temperature, sea level pressure, humidity and zonal (u) and meridional (v) winds. With the aforementioned parameters given as input to an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), the rainfall within 10x10 grids of southwest Indian regions is predicted by means of one of the most efficient clustering methods, namely the Kohonen Self-Organizing Maps (SOM). The ANN is trained with input parameters spanning for 36 years (1960-1995) and tested and validated for a period of 9 years (1996-2004). It is further used to predict the rainfall for 6 years (2005-2010). The results show reasonably good accuracy for the summer monsoon periods June, July, August and September (JJAS) of the validation years.

[...] Read more.
Other Articles