IJMECS Vol. 17, No. 1, 8 Feb. 2025
Cover page and Table of Contents: PDF (size: 647KB)
PDF (647KB), PP.91-101
Views: 0 Downloads: 0
Modern Education, Computer Science, Customer Churn Analysis, Telecommunication, OKMSVM, KPCA, Hybrid Two Level SVM model, Integrated Churn Prediction and Customer Segmentation Framework
Customer attrition is a major issue that affects the telecom industry as it reduces the company’s revenues and the overall customer base. Solving this problem involves the use of accurate prediction models that utilize CRM data and machine learning algorithms. Though several research papers have been written and published on CCP in the telecom industry, the existing models lack reliability and accuracy. The use of sophisticated data mining and machine learning techniques has been widely practised for improving predictive models. Churn prediction models that exist have their problems in terms of accuracy and errors. It is still important to develop more sophisticated models that can work well with large data and give accurate predictions. Therefore, this work aims to offer the OKMSVM model for multiclass cancer-type classification. The method applied for the dimensionality reduction pre-process is Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA) and the feature selection pre-process is done using Ant Lion Optimization (ALO). This combination assists in improving the chance of the prediction and also the reduction of probable errors. The performance of the proposed OKMSVM model was compared with some of the most common churn prediction models such as HTLSVM, DNN, ICPCSF and other ML models. It was seen that the OKMSVM model outperformed other models with an accuracy of 91. 5%, an AUC of 85. Accurate, with a correlation coefficient of 0. 838. It further shows that this model is better than the current models in the market in estimating customer churn.
Pankaj Hooda, Pooja Mittal, Bala Dhandayuthapani Veerasamy, Ruby Bhatt, Chatti Subba Lakshmi, Shoaib Kamal, Piyush Kumar Shukla, "Enhancing Churn Prediction through Advanced Machine Learning Techniques for Modern Education in Computer Science", International Journal of Modern Education and Computer Science(IJMECS), Vol.17, No.1, pp. 91-101, 2025. DOI:10.5815/ijmecs.2025.01.07
[1]S, E., "A proposed churn prediction model." International Journal of Engineering Research and Applications 2, no. 4 (2012): 693-697.
[2]V. Lazarov, and M Capota. "Churn prediction." Bus. Anal. Course. TUMComput. Sci 33 (2007): 34.
[3]B, Ionut, and G Toderean. "Churn prediction in the telecommunications sector using support vector machines." Margin 1 (2013): x1.
[4]Bandara, W. M. C., Perera, A. S., and Alahakoon, D. "Churn prediction methodologies in the telecommunications sector: A survey." In 2013 international conference on advances in I.C.T. for emerging regions (ICTer), pp. 172-176. IEEE, 2013.
[5]Acero-Charaña, Carlos, Erbert Osco-Mamani, and Tito Ale-Nieto. "Model for Predicting Customer Desertion of Telephony Service using Machine Learning."
[6]Ewieda, Mahmoud et al., "Review of Data Mining Techniques for Detecting Churners in the Telecommunication Industry." Future Computing and Informatics Journal 6, no. 1 (2021): 1.
[7]Khedra, MM Abo, et al. "A Novel Framework for Mobile Telecom Network Analysis using Big Data Platform."
[8]Jadhav, Rahul J., and Usharani T. Pawar. "Churn prediction in telecommunication using data mining technology." International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, (2011).
[9]Yihui, Q., and Chiyu, Z. "Research of indicator system in customer churn prediction for telecom industry." In 2016 11th International Conference on Computer Science & Education (ICCSE), pp. 123-130. IEEE, 2016.
[10]Zhao, M., Zeng, Q., Chang, M., Tong, Q, and Su, J. "A Prediction Model of Customer Churn Considering Customer Value: An Empirical Research of Telecom Industry in China." Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2021 (2021).
[11]Jain, N., Tomar, A., and Jana, P. K "A novel scheme for employee churn problem using multi-attribute decision making approach and machine learning." Journal of Intelligent Information Systems 56, no. 2 (2021): 279-302.
[12]Sarac, F., Şeker, H., Lisowski, M., and Timothy, A "A Hybrid Two-Level Support Vector Machine-Based Method for Churn Analysis." In 2021 5th International Conference on Cloud and Big Data Computing (ICCBDC), pp. 77-81. 2021.
[13]Bayrak, A. T., Aktaş, A. A., Susuz, O., &Tunalı, O. "Churn prediction with sequential data using long short term memory." In 2020 4th International Symposium on Multidisciplinary Studies and Innovative Technologies (ISMSIT), pp. 1-4. IEEE, 2020.
[14]Deng, Y., Li, D., Yang, L., Tang, J., & Zhao, J. “Analysis and prediction of bank user churn based on ensemble learning model”, In 2021 IEEE International Conference on Power Electronics, Computer Applications (ICPECA), pp. 288-291, 2021.
[15]Alboukaey, Nadia, Ammar Joukhadar, and Nada Ghneim. "Dynamic behavior based churn prediction in mobile telecom." Expert Systems with Applications 162 (2020): 113779.
[16]Seymen, Omer Faruk, OnurDogan, and AbdulkadirHiziroglu. "Customer Churn Prediction Using Deep Learning." International Conference on Soft Computing and Pattern Recognition. Springer, Cham, 2020.
[17]Hu, X., Yang, Y., Chen, L., & Zhu, S. (2020, April). Research on a customer churn combination prediction model based on decision tree and neural network. In 2020 IEEE 5th International Conference on Cloud Computing and Big Data Analytics (ICCCBDA) (pp. 129-132). IEEE.
[18]Ahmed, Ammar AQ, and D. Maheswari. "An enhanced ensemble classifier for telecom churn prediction using cost based uplift modelling." International Journal of Information Technology 11.2 (2019): 381-391.
[19]Yu, Ruiyun, et al. "Particle classification optimization-based B.P. network for telecommunication customer churn prediction." Neural Computing and Applications 29.3 (2018): 707-720.
[20]Abou el Kassem, Essam, et al. "Customer Churn Prediction Model and Identifying Features to Increase Customer Retention based on User Generated Content." IJACSA) International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications 11.5 (2020).
[21]Khan, Yasser, et al. "Customers churn prediction using artificial neural networks (ANN) in telecom industry." Editorial Preface From the Desk of Managing Editor 10.9 (2019): 2019.
[22]Butgereit, Laurie. "Big Data and Machine Learning for Forestalling Customer Churn Using Hybrid Software." 2020 Conference on Information Communications Technology and Society (ICTAS). IEEE, 2020.
[23]JK Sana et al, "A novel customer churn prediction model for the telecommunication industry using data transformation methods and features election" PLoSONE17(12): e0278095, 2022.
[24]LewlisaSaha et al, 'Deep Churn Prediction Method for Telecommunication Industry", Sustainability, 15, 4543, 2023.
[25]Pankaj Hooda, Pooja Mittal, “An Optimized Kernel MSVM Machine Learning-based Model for Churn Analysis” International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications (IJACSA), 13(5), 2022
[26]Pankaj Hooda, Pooja Mittal, "IMPLEMENTATION AND PERFORMANCE ENHANCEMENTS OF OPTIMISED KERNEL MSVM MODEL FOR EARLY CHURN PREDICTION IN TELECOM SECTOR", Semiconductor Optoelectronics, 42 (1), 280-298, 2023.
[27]S. Wu, W. -C. Yau, T. -S. Ong and S. -C. Chong, "Integrated Churn Prediction and Customer Segmentation Framework for Telco Business," in IEEE Access, vol. 9, pp. 62118-62136, 2021
[28]Lalwani, P., Mishra, M. K., Chadha, J. S., and Sethi, P. "Customer churn prediction system: a machine learning approach." Computing (2021): 1-24.
[29]H. Nalatissifa, and H.F. Pardede, "Customer Decision Prediction Using Deep Neural Network on Telco Customer Churn Data," JurnalElektronikadan Telekomunikasi, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 122-127, Dec. 2022